By Hash Techs 
Space organizations such as the European Space Agency believe that the likelihood of the asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth is around 2%, but this estimate may change as more information about its path is gathered. While the asteroid is more likely to miss Earth, potential impact zones have been identified as a precaution.
Summary of the required knowledge.
- Asteroid 2024 YR4 may potentially hit Earth, but the likelihood of impact is subject to variation.
- The results of a collision can be devastating, impacting a region spanning about 50 kilometers from the crash site.
Asteroid 2024 YR4
The impact of asteroid 2024 YR4 is uncertain due to the unknown composition, speed, and mass of the asteroid. Predictions about the potential consequences of a collision are currently imprecise because these characteristics can only be roughly estimated while the asteroid remains distant.
Astronomers currently think that in the event of an asteroid impact on Earth, it would result in an air blast similar to approximately 8 million tons of TNT, which is 500 times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima. This blast would impact an area of approximately 50 kilometers from the collision point.
Experts like David Rankin, an engineer at NASA’s Catalina Sky Survey Project, have developed a tool called a risk runner to forecast the potential impact site of a collision. Rankin’s analysis indicates that the asteroid is likely to land in that area.
- South America’s northernmost point.
- South Asia.
- The sea known as the Arabian Sea.
- North Africa.
- The Pacific Ocean.
chsyys/UnPlash
Monitoring and assessing the danger
International space organizations like NASA and ESA are carefully observing the asteroid to improve their estimates of its orbit and size. Further observations are scheduled for the next few years, particularly during its safe passage near Earth in December 2028, to enhance understanding of its future path.
Measures for protection
The UN implemented an emergency protocol to safeguard the planet in reaction to the 2024 YR4 event. Currently, due to the asteroid being classified at level 3 on the Torino scale, the response is restricted to constant monitoring to gain a clearer comprehension of the asteroid’s trajectory.
In 2024, a benign asteroid collided with Earth.
An asteroid entered the Earth’s atmosphere on September 4, 2024, creating a striking fireball over the Philippines. The asteroid, known as 2024 RW1, was around 90 centimeters in size and was seen moving at a speed of 63,000 km/h. Images and videos of the event were shared on social media by internet users, drawing interest from locals in the area.
The European Space Agency had forecasted that the asteroid would break apart near Luzon Island, the largest in the Philippines, with no harmful impact. NASA also verified that 2024 RW1 would enter the atmosphere, putting on a show on the east coast of the northern part of the country.
The asteroid disintegrated in the sky around 1 p.m. (local time) despite limited visibility caused by Typhoon Yahi, a powerful storm currently hitting the northern Philippines as a tropical storm.